Military experts have it clear, if Putin decided to launch a full-scale invasion operation against the army Russia it would crush neighboring troops in a matter of days. The build-up of troops near the borders – some 100,000 troops– makes military strategists think of the NATO and from the USA that the Kremlin unprecedented aggression is planned it could devastate large areas of the former Soviet republic.
Moscow has deployed in recent weeks more than a dozen Su-34 medium-range bombers. In recent years, the Russian military has modernized its artillery, especially with the use of unmanned aircraft (Orlan-10 drone) that can help detect targets for weapons. Russian military media suggest that the scale of a possible attack would completely crush the Ukrainian armed forces. In the event of a green light for the operation, the first move of the Russian Army could be the destruction of airports, defense systems and command posts. And the Ukrainian air defense? It would not last more than a day against Su-34 fighter-bombers, says the expert Luke Coffey.
A war scenario would aim the restoration of Russian control of the so-called New Russia (Novorossiya) and would serve Moscow to deploy a land bridge between Russia and Crimea, which would finally connect with the region of Transnistria in Moldova, occupied by Russia, says the aforementioned military expert. A step of this magnitude requires a large-scale mobilization of Russian forces to seize Odessa, the third largest city in Ukraine, as well as in Mariupol. “If successful, this would fundamentally change the geopolitical and security landscape in Eastern Europe in a way not seen since World War II,” Coffey concludes.
Only with ground weapons can Russia subdue the enemy in a matter of days. To do this, he has pieces of artillery and key weapons, such as the t-90 tank, already used by Russia in conflicts such as those in Syria and in Ukraine itself in 2014. In Syria, the rebels managed to destroy five Russian tanks. Ukrainian forces will have missiles Javelin to stop the advance of the T-90, of which there are at least a thousand in Russian arsenals.
Another key weapon in a possible Russian deployment would be the self-propelled howitzer. Koalitsiya-SV, similar to the US M109A7 Paladin. First publicly released in 2015, this self-propelled artillery system can fire 16 rounds per minute from an autoloader, and supports high-explosive fragmentation shells, high-precision guided shells and cluster bombs.
The tactical-operational missiles Iskander they are another option for Muscovite generals. They constitute the cornerstone of Russia’s defense system. They have a range of 500 kilometers in a matter of minutes and are capable of overcoming US anti-missile systems. The Iskander-M can use seven types of missiles and can be equipped with up to ten types of warheads. A current version is equipped with long-range cruise missiles capable of hitting ships.
Ukraine has an arsenal older than Russia’s and its military power is much lower than that of its neighbor. Ukrainian war systems are not up to date and could easily be destroyed with the russian fighter planes Su-34 and Ka-52 and Mi-28 helicopters. Ukrainian fighters are basically MiG-29 and Su-27 without modernizing and devoid of current weapons. In recent years, Washington has donated to Ukraine two Q-36 and Zoopark-3 counter-battery radars locally made. The economic crisis that the country is suffering and the effects of the war in the east since 2014, which has already left 13,000 dead and 30,000 injured, have prevented the Ukrainian state from investing large sums of money in defense, generating problems in the production of projectiles. and rockets, meaning guns and launchers could simply run out of ammunition in an intensive campaign.