In the war between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Turkey has entered the battlefield. Why didn’t Russia join the war quickly?
The mountains of the Caucasus have always been places with complex ethnicities and religions in the world. These places are most prone to wars. The game between the great powers behind the wars is a very important aspect.
At present, Armenia and Azerbaijan are in full-scale war. Turkey took the shot himself, but Russia did not take action. What is he hesitating?
On September 27, Armenia and Azerbaijan broke out in the Naka region the largest conflict in nearly 20 years, which has resulted in hundreds of military and civilian casualties.
The conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan is mainly in the Naka region. Armenia joined the Transcaucasus Federation in 1923, and the Naka region, which originally belonged to Armenia, was included in the scope of Azerbaijan. The Soviet Union was originally for the purpose of national integration, but in fact it caused a larger-scale national war. In the Naka region, the Armenians once launched an independence movement to establish the Second Republic of Armenia, but they were eventually suppressed.
After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, the Naka region became the focus of conflict. Theoretically speaking, the Naka region should belong to Armenia, after all, Armenians are still the dominant nation here. But Azerbaijan is unwilling to return the land. In the end, the Naka War broke out on both sides, and the war ended in 1994. However, ethnic cleansing broke out on both sides and tens of thousands of people died. Armenia and Azerbaijan became deadly enemies with blood debts. Later, Azerbaijan took control of the Naka region in name, but in fact it has completely independent.
Up to now, war broke out again between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Armenia’s population is only 3 million, far less than Azerbaijan’s 10 million, and the power disparity is too great. If the Armenians are afraid of war and run away, the whole Armenia may be annexed by Azerbaijan.
I thought that the Armenians were already miserable enough, but Turkey behind Azerbaijan joined in again. Turkish President Erdogan expressed support for Azerbaijan and has sent some forces to strengthen Azerbaijan’s military.
On the Russian side, it was only President Putin talking on the phone with the Prime Minister of Armenia and expressed “serious concern” about the hostilities between the two sides.
Obviously, Russia is not active in this war. What are they hesitating?
In fact, Russia is now quite dangerous, and it is definitely not a good choice to go to war.
In the West of Russia, Belarus, the most staunch ally, has a civil strife. It is hard to say whether we can continue to be with Russia in the future. If Russia wants to solve the Belarusian problem, it needs great wisdom, and it will not be done in one or two years.
In Belarus, Russia does not want to go to war, and in Armenia, Russia does not want to.
After all, the Caucasus region is also very troublesome for Russia.
To the south of the Caucasus, that is, Transcaucasus, there are three small countries, Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia. These three small countries have more or less fetters with Russia. If Russia acts rashly and intensifies conflicts, whether it is the influx of refugees into Russia or the resurgence of terrorists, it will be a headache.
What’s more, if Russia wants to enter Armenia, it must borrow Georgia. Georgia has been swaying between the United States and Russia. If you suspect that this is a good show of false roads, will it intensify the conflict again?
Armenia and Russia are connected by blood and have similar religious beliefs, but they are surrounded by four countries: Georgia, Azerbaijan, Turkey, and Iran. Russia is now an anti-rat, and dare not act rashly.
Across the Caucasus Mountains is Russia. However, this part of the land near the Caucasus has always been uneven. The most typical is the Chechen region, which has become a headache for Russia. Although it has subsided now, it is difficult to guarantee that there will be no problems again.
The North Ossetia region bordering Georgia also gave him a headache.
The most important thing is that Russia is increasingly discovering that the original tough policy may not work well, and may even push allies to the enemy.
Under the influence of various factors, Russia has not shown clear support for Armenia.
If the Aya-Asian war continues to escalate in the future, how will Russia act? let us wait and see!